Provident Financial Valuation

PROV Stock  USD 16.15  0.01  0.06%   
At this time, the company appears to be fairly valued. Provident Financial holds a recent Real Value of $15.95 per share. The prevailing price of the company is $16.15. Our model determines the value of Provident Financial from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Operating Margin of 0.22 %, return on equity of 0.0515, and Shares Outstanding of 6.41 M as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Provident Financial's valuation include:
Price Book
0.8121
Enterprise Value
262.3 M
Price Sales
2.5625
Forward PE
10.1729
Trailing PE
16.3131
Fairly Valued
Today
16.15
Please note that Provident Financial's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Provident Financial is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Provident Financial's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Provident stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Provident Financial Holdings. Since Provident Financial is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Provident Stock. However, Provident Financial's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  16.15 Real  15.95 Target  16.0 Hype  16.15 Naive  16.41
The intrinsic value of Provident Financial's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Provident Financial's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
15.95
Real Value
16.88
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Provident Financial Holdings helps investors to forecast how Provident stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Provident Financial more accurately as focusing exclusively on Provident Financial's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.270.270.27
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.2216.1517.08
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.410.420.43
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
14.5616.0017.76
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Provident Financial's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Provident Financial's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Provident Financial's closest peers.

Provident Financial Cash

65.19 Million

Provident Revenue by Product

Provident Financial Total Value Analysis

Provident Financial Holdings is at this time estimated to have valuation of 262.29 M with market capitalization of 104.56 M, debt of 213.07 M, and cash on hands of 38.9 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Provident Financial fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
262.29 M
104.56 M
213.07 M
38.9 M

Provident Financial Investor Information

About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.81. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Provident Financial last dividend was issued on the 12th of February 2026. The entity had 3:2 split on the 3rd of February 2004. Provident Financial Holdings is doing better financially today then in previous quarter. It has a moderate probability of reporting better financial numbers in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.140.13
Significantly Up
Very volatile
Operating Income11.3 MM
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile

Provident Financial Asset Utilization

The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The latest return on assets of Provident indicates not a very effective usage of assets in February.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Provident Financial Profitability Analysis

Taking into consideration Provident Financial's profitability measurements, Provident Financial Holdings is yielding more profit at this time then in previous quarter. It has a moderate probability of reporting better profitability numbers in March. Profitability indicators assess Provident Financial's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1996-09-30
Previous Quarter
1.7 M
Current Value
1.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Provident Financial's Gross Profit is fairly stable compared to the past year. Pretax Profit Margin is likely to climb to 0.14 in 2026, whereas Net Profit Margin is likely to drop 0.09 in 2026.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.540.59
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Net Profit Margin0.0880.0936
Notably Down
Very volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.140.13
Significantly Up
Very volatile
Pretax Profit Margin0.140.13
Significantly Up
Very volatile
Return On Assets0.00770.0058
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Return On Equity0.07650.056
Significantly Up
Pretty Stable
For Provident Financial profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Provident Financial to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Provident Financial utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Provident Financial's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Provident Financial over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Provident Financial Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Provident Financial is estimated to be 0.2675 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.2675 to a high of 0.2675. Provident Financial's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 0.99. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Provident Financial Holdings is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Provident Financial is projected to generate 0.2675 in earnings per share on the 30th of June 2026. Provident Financial earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Provident Financial EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Provident Financial's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Provident Financial, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Provident Financial Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Provident Financial's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Provident Financial is estimated to be 0.2675 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.2675 to a high of 0.2675. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Provident Financial Holdings is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.27
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.2675
0.27
Highest

Provident Financial Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Provident Financial's value are higher than the current market price of the Provident Financial stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Provident Financial is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Provident Financial's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 30th of June 2026Current EPS (TTM)
175.8%
0.0
0.2675
0.99

Provident Financial Ownership Allocation

The market capitalization of Provident Financial is $104.56 Million. Provident Financial has significant amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. Note, that even with substantial debt, if the true value of the company is larger than the current market value, you may still be able to generate positive returns on investment in this company at some point.

Provident Financial Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 60.16 M. Net Income was 6.25 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 40.8 M.

Provident Financial Past Distributions to stockholders

About Provident Financial Valuation

Our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Provident Financial. We calculate exposure to Provident Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Provident Financial's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit45.6 M54.7 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.13  0.14 
Operating Profit Margin 0.13  0.14 
Net Profit Margin 0.09  0.09 
Gross Profit Margin 0.59  0.54 

Provident Financial Quarterly Retained Earnings

213.69 Million

Provident Financial's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Provident Financial's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Provident Financial can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Provident Financial represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Provident, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Provident Financial Dividends Analysis For Valuation

Dividends Paid is likely to drop to about 3.4 M in 2026. Dividend Yield is likely to drop to 0.02 in 2026. At this time, Provident Financial's Earning Assets are fairly stable compared to the past year. Earnings Yield is likely to climb to 0.07 in 2026, whereas Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to drop slightly above 208.5 M in 2026.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid4.3 M3.4 M
Dividend Yield 0.03  0.02 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.54  0.49 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.82  1.32 
There are various types of dividends Provident Financial can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Provident shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Provident Financial Holdings directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Provident pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Provident Financial by the value of the dividends paid out.

Provident Financial Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Provident Financial does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.8 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.702
Forward Price Earnings10.1729

Provident Financial Current Valuation Indicators

Provident Financial's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Provident Financial's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Provident Financial, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Provident Financial's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Provident Financial's worth.

Additional Tools for Provident Stock Analysis

When running Provident Financial's price analysis, check to measure Provident Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Provident Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Provident Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Provident Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Provident Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Provident Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.